Flexport: Trans-Pacific deteriorating, brace for shipping ‘tsunami’
Trans-Pacific container crunch is about to become even more severe, warns Flexport, with May sailings now effectively sold out.
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The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic had a negative impact on shipping industry growth in 2020. With the world in lockdown, demand for non-essential consumer goods (and the means to ship them) decreased. Shipment of manufactured goods also decreased as factories closed in an effort to slow the spread of the virus. On top of that, China — one of the world’s largest exporters — was at the center of the pandemic, leading several countries to stop trade with the nation altogether.
According to the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), maritime shipping industry growth will likely slow or remain flat in 2023, driven by inflation and the ongoing war in Ukraine. For the overall 2023–2027 period, UNCTAD predicts growth at an annual average rate of 2.1%, slower than the previous 30-year average of 3.3%.
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Trans-Pacific container crunch is about to become even more severe, warns Flexport, with May sailings now effectively sold out.
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As cargo shippers struggle, container-vessel companies rake in massive profits. Early signals point to record Q1 results.
Container shipping spot rates haven’t budged from COVID-fueled peaks. Cargo shippers’ hopes for a rate pullback are fading.
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Fewer options means less competition and less incentive to control costs.
California’s container-ship traffic jam is slightly less jammed but import pressure remains high. One analyst warns the worst may be yet to come.
Ocean carrier ZIM just released record results and confirmed huge gains for contract rates. So why did its stock sink?
Newbuild-to-fleet ratio now 15.3%, up from 9.4% in mid-2020. But orders are not high enough yet to wave red flags.
Deutsche Bank’s Amit Mehrotra on how long import surge could last and upside potential for container, dry bulk and tanker stocks.
Tanker and bulker spot rates can go sub zero — some tanker rates are there now. What do the negative numbers really mean?
Container, dry bulk and tanker stocks push forward. Biggest winner since mid-2020: Danaos, up (this is not a typo) 1,202%.
How does California congestion rank versus 2015 logjam caused by tensions with dockworkers union? It’s not even close: 2021 wins by a long shot.
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Analysts tally tanker fallout after OPEC+ stuns market with decision to hold the line of production cuts.
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Jefferies senior analyst Randy Giveans outlines why it is now a particularly good time to buy container-shipping stocks.
The Sustainable Shipping Initiative’s road map to sustainability includes financial, social and environmental sustainability factors.
Today’s container market chaos underscores the need for enforceable ocean contracts as opposed to loose agreements, argues consultant Tom Craig.
The bosses of public dry bulk shipping companies claim that recent market oddities point to good times ahead.
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Evan Efstathiou discusses why VCs are looking to invest more in maritime just as shipowners are looking to partner more with startups.
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BIMCO’s Peter Sand discusses whether container shipping’s ‘new normal’ has legs and what’s next for the sector.
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Star Bulk and Golden Ocean have recently acquired almost $1 billion in ships between them as they seek more exposure to the dry bulk market.
Cargo shippers hamstrung by the global container shortage should not expect a box building spree in China to come to their rescue.
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California calls on feds to protect exporters. Shipping groups claim California export cure will worsen congestion — including for importers.
Container lines score huge negotiating advantage as spot-rate surge set to persist through annual contract season.
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Asia-U.S. liner sailings are now being canceled because too many container ships are stuck at anchor off California.
Short of a conflict in the Middle East and its adjacent shipping lanes, it is hard to see a spike in tanker spot rates in the near term.
U.S. ports have seen “month-over-month strength across multiple business segments.”
In Africa, one seafarer is dead and 15 have been kidnapped. Worldwide, more seafarers are being barred from travel as COVID fears rise.
Nearly 700 dockworkers in California have COVID. Hundreds more are out due to quarantines. Pleas for fast-track vaccinations intensify.
Ocean carrier ZIM has hiked its fleet capacity with new charters and is planning to price its New York IPO next week.
This has been the best January for dry bulk shipping rates in a decade. Is this the long-awaited turning point or yet another head fake?
Cortera report shows surge in business spending as the year drew to a close.
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There are more container ships stuck off California than at any time since 2004. What’s behind the pileup? When can it be cleared?
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A Biden administration teamed with a Democratic Congress should lead to even more stimulus, a recipe for even more container imports.
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Like clockwork, liner operators sharply reduce their sailings each year during the Chinese New Year holiday. Not in 2021.
No end date is in sight as the wreckage removal proceeds nearly 16 months after the roll-on/roll-off vessel capsized off the coast of Georgia.
Successful IPO by ZIM would offer investors direct exposure to trans-Pacific freight-rate craziness, but not without risks from debt load.
Asia-U.S. container rates had held firm at a record high since September. Now they’re on the move again — and headed even higher.
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Top 10 lists dominate the end of any year. American Shipper’s Top 10 stories list is voted on throughout the year by readers simply by reading our stories on americanshipper.com. Here are the stories you read the most in 2020.
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Now-pardoned California Republican Duncan Hunter pleaded guilty to misusing campaign funds.
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Container imports far exceed sales, raising concerns that 2020’s transport binge could lead to a big headache in 2021.
B2B orders can be fulfilled on one site rather than switching to a logistics provider’s platform, Freightos says.
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The trans-Pacific surge will persist through Q1 and January could see all-time-high container volumes, predicts Flexport’s Nerijus Poskus.
E-documentation initiative establishes data and process standards for bill of lading preparation and issuance.
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Hapag-Lloyd and ONE chief executives will lead the “unified voice of liner shipping.”