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Michael Baudendistel

Mike Baudendistel is the Head of Intermodal Solutions at FreightWaves and author of The Stockout, focusing on the rail intermodal, CPG and retail industries. Prior to joining FreightWaves, Baudendistel served as a senior sell-side equity research analyst covering the publicly traded railroads, and companies that manufacture and lease railroad equipment, trucks, trailers, engines and components. His experience following the freight transportation industry also touched the truckload, Jones Act barge and domestic logistics industries. He is a CFA Charterholder.
Jan - 2022 -
14 January
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: 5 SONAR charts that stand out

This week’s CPG news items reflect a continuation of recent food/beverage trends.  More crossover between soft drink and alcoholic drinks: Monster Beverage is the latest soft drink company to get […]

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Dec - 2021 -
10 December
Michael Baudendistel

10 CPG trends to watch in ’22

Instead of discussing the current CPG news and freight data per my usual, for today’s newsletter I highlight the CPG industry trends I expect to see in 2022.  Trend No. […]

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02 December
Michael Baudendistel

Tony the Tiger may soon end his strrr-ike

Before getting into CPG news, here are two near-term events for your calendar:  On Friday, The Stockout show is focused on the railroad industry and features a true industry expert […]

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Nov - 2021 -
26 November
Michael Baudendistel

Smucker posts strong sales but still feels margin pressure

J.M. Smucker Co.’s results highlight margin pressure even as CPG companies raise prices and continue to post strong sales. Overall, Smucker reported strong results as its earnings easily beat analysts’ […]

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23 November
Michael Baudendistel

Consumer data shows mixed messages

Before getting into what’s happening in CPG supply chains, here’s something for your calendar: I host the next quarterly The Stockout webinar on Dec. 6 at 2 p.m. ET. Here’s […]

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19 November
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Nestlé gets aggressive with online ambitions

Before getting into what’s happening in CPG supply chains, here’s something for your calendar: I host the next quarterly The Stockout webinar on Dec. 6 at 2 p.m. ET. Here’s […]

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17 November
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Oatly shares remain under pressure as revenue growth slows

Oatly (Swedish oat milk company) shares continue to struggle. Oatly’s American depository receipts declined 21% Monday and closed at $9.36, down 45% from the $17 IPO price. Investors’ primary concern […]

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12 November
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Beyond Meat shares battered as 4Q outlook disappoints

Beyond Meat sell-off further ignites debate about demand for plant-based protein. From my perspective, Beyond Meat’s earnings and the fallout have been the most interesting CPG-related news this week. The […]

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11 November
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Under activist pressure, TreeHouse Foods exploring strategic alternatives

TreeHouse Foods, a major manufacturer of private-label food products, announced that its board is exploring strategic alternatives. Potential strategic actions include a possible sale of the company or the divestment […]

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05 November
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Kellogg maintains formal earnings guidance despite headwinds

Kellogg Co. manages to reaffirm earnings guidance despite both industrywide and company-specific challenges. I find it impressive that the company was able to retain its guidance for both operating profit […]

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02 November
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Vertical farming promises big impact on food supply chains

Vertical farming promises to be one of the most impactful trends to food in the coming years. In fact, it was listed as the No. 1 trend in Whole Foods’ […]

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Sep - 2021 -
03 September
Michael Baudendistel

Chassis, containers and draymen all stars of the intermodal service meltdown

It’s times like these that it’s more fun to write about transportation issues than to actually have to move freight (not that I’ve ever actually moved freight). On Wednesday, topics […]

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Jul - 2021 -
19 July
Michael Baudendistel

SONAR Daily: Volume down on 10 key intermodal lanes

Loaded domestic intermodal container volume is now down on 10 of the 11 densest domestic intermodal lanes that originate in the U.S.

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May - 2021 -
20 May
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Oatly shares soar upon going public

With most CPG companies already having reported first-quarter earnings, the CPG-related news this week centered around descriptions of consumer strength from their retail partners. In addition, the largest CPG companies, […]

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11 May
Michael Baudendistel

Latest dry van, reefer spot rate surge may be short-lived

As the equity indexes declined on Tuesday, two freight indexes contained in SONAR were up sharply after incorporating data from the past week: the national dry van and reefer spot […]

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07 May
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Baby bust bolsters bearish outlook

As the economy surges, inflation pressures are becoming more widespread. Everywhere you look, there are headline-grabbing reports of rising prices. Some areas where inflation is acute are in industrial commodities […]

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04 May
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Raising prices on disinfectants during COVID is not gouging

Wall Street didn’t like Clorox’s earnings report late last week. There were analyst downgrades and shares are down from where they were a week ago and down 10% from their […]

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Apr - 2021 -
27 April
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: CPG companies highlight forthcoming price increases

In past editions of The Stockout, I’ve discussed cost inflation trends, which I believe is the industry’s largest issue currently aside from pandemic-related structural changes in demand. In recent days, […]

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20 April
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Potential rail merger could increase CPG companies’ intermodal options

Tuesday morning there was big news out of the rail industry: Canadian National Railway (CN) made a stronger offer to acquire the Kansas City Southern (KCS) Railway than what Canadian […]

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16 April
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: L’Oreal’s supply chain running well — except in the US

In today’s The Stockout, I discuss first-quarter earnings reports from Pepsi and L’Oreal. L’Oreal, in particular, has a lot of momentum of late with shares reaching all-time highs as investors […]

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13 April
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Honest and Impossible — CPG companies that may go public soon

Most public CPG companies are in their quiet periods ahead of earnings. But there were still significant developments with the CPG companies that are not (yet) public. There is a […]

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09 April
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: What ketchup packets and semiconductors have in common

When we look back at the COVID era, we will remember stockouts of toilet paper, cleared-out grocery store shelves and the impossibility of getting the latest video game console because […]

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05 April
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Spices returning to shelves as McCormick restocks

In today’s edition of The Stockout CPG-focused newsletter, I discuss a company that has been dealing with exactly that — stockouts. McCormick & Co., the world’s largest spice company, reported […]

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Mar - 2021 -
30 March
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Starbucks targeting GHG reduction early in its supply chain

Last week Starbucks expanded upon its previously stated goal to be a “resource-positive company,” with specific goals related to sourcing coffee beans, land use and production. What’s striking is how […]

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24 March
Michael Baudendistel

General Mills sees mid-single-digit freight cost inflation

Most CPG companies will report earnings next month, but with an off-cycle fiscal year ending May 31, General Mills reported its fiscal third quarter Wednesday morning for the December-February quarter. […]

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19 March
Michael Baudendistel

Will pork market go hog wild over Prop 12?

Earlier this week in The Stockout CPG-focused newsletter, I discussed the impact that China’s efforts to replenish its hog population was having on corn and soybean exports as well as […]

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16 March
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Cargill puts its money where its beans are

Cargill’s announcement last week that it is making a nearly half-billion dollar investment in soybeans caught my attention because it suggests that one of the world’s largest food producers believes […]

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13 March
Michael Baudendistel

What is positive train control?

Positive train control, also known as PTC, is a safety technology aimed at automatically stopping a freight or passenger train before a collision. This Ask Waves article describes what it is, its history and its future implications.

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11 March
Michael Baudendistel

Intermodal provides greater savings in tight freight market

Earlier this week, in the last edition of The Stockout CPG-focused newsletter, I focused on reefer since the many CPG companies that require temperature controls are facing an even tighter […]

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09 March
Michael Baudendistel

Coin flip compliance — reefer carriers are rejecting half of tenders

Just as Pat Riley trademarked the term “three-peat,” I’m considering trademarking “coin flip compliance.” That’s the state of the reefer market today with reefer carriers rejecting 50.3% of tendered loads, […]

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Michael Baudendistel

Reefer shippers beware: Capacity shifting to dedicated and carriers practicing stricter freight selection

This article was originally published in The Stockout newsletter on February 3, 2021. To sign up for The Stockout newsletter, click here. We recommend that CPG companies, and others that […]

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05 March
Michael Baudendistel

Nothing light about Bud’s debt load

One financial metric in the CPG world that stands out to me is AB InBev’s net debt-to-EBITDA ratio: 4.8x. The company has been highly leveraged since its acquisition of SABMiller […]

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01 March
Michael Baudendistel

The Stockout: Fake meat — the future or freakshow?

Plant-based meat alternatives are to the food industry what electric vehicles are to the transportation industry — a niche with a lot of startups today but maybe not so niche […]

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Feb - 2020 -
29 February
Michael Baudendistel

International container volume, shipping rates highlight weakness in imports from China

Container shipping rates from China to the U.S. west coast and international intermodal volume out of the L.A. port complex are both at or below last year’s seasonally-weak Chinese New Year Period. Extended factory shutdowns to prevent the spread of the coronavirus may inhibit a March or April rebound.

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Michael Baudendistel

Forecasting intermodal in 2020

FreightWaves Market Expert Mike Baudendistel writes about the issues impacting rail intermodal in 2020, and the ongoing battle between the railroads and the trucking industry.

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15 February
Michael Baudendistel

Is it the OEMs’ turn for a winless season?

Market Expert Mike Baudendistel looks at the prospects for the truck original equipment manufacturers in 2020.

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03 February
Jan - 2020 -
09 January
Michael Baudendistel

What is Precision Scheduled Railroading (PSR)?

Precision Scheduled Railroading, or PSR, is the operational method of running a railroad for maximum asset utilization by which freight movements are scheduled and managed on the individual carload (rather than entire train level). That contributes to efficiency improvements by, for instance, using more direct point-to-point routing, bypassing classification terminals, and having the flexibility to use long mixed-commodity trains.

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Dec - 2019 -
19 December
Michael Baudendistel

Commentary: Is intermodal over as a growth story?

Market Expert Michael Baudendistel writes about rail intermodal volume is lower for the long-term, or can it be more competitive with trucking.

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Nov - 2019 -
07 November
Michael Baudendistel

Rail recession in volume only

Market expert Michael Baudendistel writes about whether there is a rail recession, or are railroads paring operations and employees to fatten their bottom lines.

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