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Tropical storm reaches Caribbean this weekend? (with forecast video)

Photo: NOAA

Tropical Depression Eleven (TD-11) is churning over the Atlantic, eyeing the Caribbean. Container ships will need to steer clear over the next several days.

SONAR Critical Events and satellite: Wednesday, August 12, 2020, 5 a.m. EDT; Tropical Depression Eleven

Showers and thunderstorms swirling around a low pressure system in the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean on Tuesday afternoon, August 11, intensified as the circulation around the low tightened. This resulted in the tropical wave strengthening into a tropical depression.

As of 5 a.m EDT today, August 12, TD-11 was centered about 1,4000 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands, a Caribbean island group which includes Anguilla, Saint Martin, Saint Kitts, Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat and Nevis.

The depression is moving toward the west at around 15 mph, and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) expects this general motion and forward speed to continue today.


https://vimeo.com/447110415

TD-11 could make a bit of a northwesterly turn tonight, continuing that motion through the rest of the week while maintaining its forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph, and the NHC expects winds to pick up. Once they reach 39 mph, TD-11 will become Tropical Storm Josephine, the 10th named storm of the 2020 Atlantic season. This is likely to happen later today.

The NHC has not issued any coastal tropical weather advisories, but this may change.

The latest forecast has potential Tropical Storm Josephine brushing by the northern Leeward Islands this weekend, but not making a direct hit. However, a slight shift southward of the storm’s eventual track would change that.


SONAR Ship Locator

It’s much too early to tell how strong the storm will become, or if it will reach the mainland United States. For now, it’s mainly an issue for container ship operators that will need to steer clear.

Look for updates over the next several days on the FreightWaves website and social media accounts.

Click here for more FreightWaves articles by Nick Austin.

Nick Austin

Nick is a meteorologist with 20 years of forecasting and broadcasting experience. He was nominated for a Midsouth Emmy for his coverage during a 2008 western Tennessee tornado outbreak. He received his Bachelor of Science in Meteorology from Florida State University, as well as a Bachelor of Science in Management from the Georgia Tech. Nick is a member of the American Meteorological Society and National Weather Association. As a member of the weather team at WBBJ-TV in Jackson, Tennessee, Nick was nominated for a Mid-South Emmy for live coverage of a major tornado outbreak in February 2008. As part of the weather team at WRCB-TV in Chattanooga, Tennessee, Nick shared the Chattanooga Times-Free Press Best of the Best award for “Best Weather Team” eight consecutive years.